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Odds on NBA

March Madness Bracket
2015-02-15

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NBA: Atlanta at Milwaukee 8:30E NBA-TV
2010-04-26

Just when experts were ready Apuestas Deportivas Online Bingo NFL Betting Lines to write off the Bucks in their first round Eastern Conference playoff series with Atlanta, Milwaukee came up with a huge effort on its home court, turning back the Hawks in a relatively easy 18-point win on Saturday. Tonight, Game 4 of the series is on tap, and oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com show Atlanta as the 1.5-point favorite. Can the Bucks even the series, or are the Hawks ready to assume control.

Coach Mike Woodson said his Atlanta club has to learn to deal with adversity, especially on the road. Hey coach, what about if they just decide to act like they even care about giving effort on the playoff road for goodness sake. Consider Luc Mbah a Moute, Kurt Thomas and Dan Gadzuric of Milwaukee had a decided advantage over Josh Smith, Al Horford and Marvin Williams just by trying, something the team in the ATL jerseys just were not interested in.

This team is supposed to be maturing, but after Saturday’s debacle, the Hawks have lost eight of nine road playoffs games the last three years, with the average margin of defeat 22.6 PPG. Take a look at this trend further illustrating the struggles of the franchise on the road:

• ATLANTA is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games in all playoff games since 1996. The average score was ATLANTA 82.0, OPPONENT 96.1 - (Rating = 1*)

“I still think we’re a team that’s still learning how to win, like all teams in this league,” Woodson said. “It’s not easy winning on the road, and I never use that as an excuse, but that’s reality.” Losing is one thing but being blown out and man-handled is quite another. Dating back several seasons, this franchise is 2-12 ATS on the road in the first round of the playoffs.

This has to give the Bucks a great deal of confidence and maybe those signs around town spooked Atlanta – Fear the Deer.

Milwaukee is 8-1 ATS off a home win by 10 points or more this season; nevertheless is not getting ahead of itself. “There was a lot of pressure on us to come out and win Game 3,” rookie Brandon Jennings said. “But we can’t celebrate. We’ve got to come back Monday and do the same thing.”

Sportsbook.com has established the Hawks as 1.5-point favorites with 191 total, if for no other reason than pride. Atlanta is 8-1 ATS and 8-1 OVER off a double digit defeat. The Andrew Bogut-less Bucks are 14-4 ATS after scoring 105 points or more and are 14-2 OVER as a home deer, whoops, dog of three points or less.

The StatFox Power Ratings show the wrong team being favored, Milwaukee by 3.


NBA Florida throw-down in Miami
2010-03-19

The Orlando Magic are feeling pretty good about Vince Carter’s steady performance in recent weeks. If they can get Rashard Lewis playing at that same level, they’ll be ecstatic. Lewis looks to build on his best game of an otherwise awful month Thursday when the Magic - seeking their 10th victory in 11 games - visit the Miami Heat. The Magic are 2-point road favorites at Sportsbook.com, but the Heat have upset on their minds.

Neither Carter (42.5 percent) nor Lewis (42.9) has shot the ball well this season. Orlando (48-21, 35-30-4 ATS) has plenty of other options to compensate for that duo’s struggles, but getting both stars on track could be critical with the playoffs approaching. Carter seems well on his way. The former Rookie of the Year has averaged 19.0 points on 54.6 percent shooting over his last 10 games as the Magic have gone 9-1 and 7-3 ATS.

Lewis, on the other hand, has been completely off his game. He had averaged 4.0 points over Orlando’s previous three games heading into San Antonio’s visit on Wednesday, and coach Stan Van Gundy said his two-time All-Star lacked energy. Orlando travels south and is 19-9 ATS in road games after a non-conference test over the last two seasons.

While Thursday’s meeting is the last of the regular season between the Magic and the Heat, it could be a playoff preview. Orlando is the East’s No. 2 seed, with Miami currently in the seventh slot.

The Heat (35-33, 34-34 ATS) won the first two games of the season series as Lewis struggled, scoring nine points in each game and shooting 25.0 percent. He fared much better versus Miami on Feb. 28 at home. Lewis had 22 points to lead the Magic to a 96-80.

Dwyane Wade has managed 23.3 points on 39.3 percent shooting against Orlando, but he’s elevated his game so far in March to help the Heat get back in the playoff picture. In ninth place after the Feb. 28 loss to the Magic, the Heat have since won six of eight behind 30.3 points per game from Wade. Yet one night before Orlando routed the Spurs, Miami couldn’t deliver against San Antonio. Wade had 28 points Tuesday but his teammates shot 36.5 percent in an 88-76 defeat. Even with the loss, Miami is 5-1 ATS in last six home games.

Sportsbook.com has Orlando as two-point favorites and they are 24-11 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 since last season. Miami has had their problems with teams with offensive format like the Magic and are 18-36 ATS versus clubs who attempt 18 or more three-point shots a game in the second half of the season.

The total is a modest 188.5, the lowest it has been in exactly three years (3/18/07), when oddsmakers had it at 186. This could go either way as Orlando is 14-4 UNDER after scoring 110 points or more and the Heat are 12-3 OVER in March home games over the last two seasons.

This is the opener on TNT at 8:00 Eastern and both teams have been sloppy on Thursday nights with the Magic 1-4 ATS and Miami 5-13 ATS. The StatFox Power Line shows Orlando by 4